In this paper we introduce a new common long memory factor model. The model allows to estimate the common persistent component in fractionally cointegrated processes. We find evidence of cobreaking and fractional cointegration in excess nominal money growth and inflation in the euro area, and propose a new core inflation measure which takes into account both features. A comparison with other core inflation measures reveals that the proposed core inflation process is superior in terms of forecasting properties and economic interpretability.

Morana, C. (2002). Common persistent factors in inflation and excess nominal money growth and a new measure of core inflation. STUDIES IN NONLINEAR DYNAMICS AND ECONOMETRICS, 6(3) [10.2202/1558-3708.1092].

Common persistent factors in inflation and excess nominal money growth and a new measure of core inflation

Morana, C
2002

Abstract

In this paper we introduce a new common long memory factor model. The model allows to estimate the common persistent component in fractionally cointegrated processes. We find evidence of cobreaking and fractional cointegration in excess nominal money growth and inflation in the euro area, and propose a new core inflation measure which takes into account both features. A comparison with other core inflation measures reveals that the proposed core inflation process is superior in terms of forecasting properties and economic interpretability.
Articolo in rivista - Articolo scientifico
Time Series; Range Dependence; Volatility
English
2002
6
3
3
none
Morana, C. (2002). Common persistent factors in inflation and excess nominal money growth and a new measure of core inflation. STUDIES IN NONLINEAR DYNAMICS AND ECONOMETRICS, 6(3) [10.2202/1558-3708.1092].
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10281/554652
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