In the statistical and actuarial literature several generalizations of quantiles have been considered, by means of the minimization of a suitable asymmetric loss function. All these generalized quantiles share the important property of elicitability, which has received a lot of attention recently since it corresponds to the existence of a natural backtesting methodology. In this paper we investigate the case of M-quantiles as the minimizers of an asymmetric convex loss function, in contrast to Orlicz quantiles that have been considered in Bellini and Rosazza Gianin (2012). We discuss their properties as risk measures and point out the connection with the zero utility premium principle and with shortfall risk measures introduced by Föllmer and Schied (2002). In particular, we show that the only M-quantiles that are coherent risk measures are the expectiles, introduced by Newey and Powell (1987) as the minimizers of an asymmetric quadratic loss function. We provide their dual and Kusuoka representations and discuss their relationship with CVaR. We analyze their asymptotic properties for α → 1 and show that for very heavy tailed distributions expectiles are more conservative than the usual quantiles. Finally, we show their robustness in the sense of lipschitzianity with respect to the Wasserstein metric. © 2013 Elsevier B.V.

Bellini, F., Klar, B., Mueller, A., ROSAZZA GIANIN, E. (2014). Generalized quantiles as risk measures. INSURANCE MATHEMATICS & ECONOMICS, 54, 41-48 [10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.10.015].

Generalized quantiles as risk measures

BELLINI, FABIO;ROSAZZA GIANIN, EMANUELA
2014

Abstract

In the statistical and actuarial literature several generalizations of quantiles have been considered, by means of the minimization of a suitable asymmetric loss function. All these generalized quantiles share the important property of elicitability, which has received a lot of attention recently since it corresponds to the existence of a natural backtesting methodology. In this paper we investigate the case of M-quantiles as the minimizers of an asymmetric convex loss function, in contrast to Orlicz quantiles that have been considered in Bellini and Rosazza Gianin (2012). We discuss their properties as risk measures and point out the connection with the zero utility premium principle and with shortfall risk measures introduced by Föllmer and Schied (2002). In particular, we show that the only M-quantiles that are coherent risk measures are the expectiles, introduced by Newey and Powell (1987) as the minimizers of an asymmetric quadratic loss function. We provide their dual and Kusuoka representations and discuss their relationship with CVaR. We analyze their asymptotic properties for α → 1 and show that for very heavy tailed distributions expectiles are more conservative than the usual quantiles. Finally, we show their robustness in the sense of lipschitzianity with respect to the Wasserstein metric. © 2013 Elsevier B.V.
Articolo in rivista - Articolo scientifico
Expectile, Coherence, Elicitability, Kusuoka representation, Robustness, Wasserstein metric
English
2014
54
41
48
none
Bellini, F., Klar, B., Mueller, A., ROSAZZA GIANIN, E. (2014). Generalized quantiles as risk measures. INSURANCE MATHEMATICS & ECONOMICS, 54, 41-48 [10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.10.015].
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10281/48539
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