Cost-effectiveness of new direct-acting antivirals to prevent post-liver transplant recurrent hepatitis

Preliminary studies on HCV-cirrhotics listed for transplant suggest that sofosbuvir in combination with ribavirin is very effective in promoting viral clearance and preventing disease recurrence. Unfortunately, the high cost of such treatment (€46-500 per 12 weeks of treatment) makes its cost-effectiveness questionable. A semi-Markov model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of sofosbuvir/ribavirin treatment in cirrhotic patients without HCC (HCV-CIRRH) and with HCC (HCV-HCC) listed for transplant. In the base-case analysis, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for 24 weeks of sofosbuvir/ribavirin was €44-875 per quality-adjusted life-year gained in HCV-CIRRH and €60-380 in HCV-HCC patients. Both results were above the willingness to pay threshold of €37-000 per quality-adjusted life-year. Our data also show that in order to remain cost-effective (with a 24-week treatment), any novel interferon-free treatment endowed with ideal efficacy should cost less than €67-224 or €95-712 in HCV-cirrhotics with and without HCC, respectively. The results shows that sofosbuvir/ribavirin therapy, given to patients listed for transplant, is not cost-effective at current prices despite being very effective, and new, more effective treatments will have little economic margins to remain cost-effective. New interferon-free combinations have the potential to revolutionize the treatment and prognosis of HCV-positive patients listed for transplant; however, without sustainable prices, this revolution is unlikely to happen. The authors show that DAA-based interferon-free treatments in patients listed for transplantation are borderline cost-effective at the current price, and the cost-effectiveness estimates are critically influenced by the duration of treatment. See editorial by Brown on page 1741.