Proportion data frequently arise in applied studies and are commonly modeled using beta regression when responses lie in the open unit interval (0, 1). However, real datasets often include observations equal to zero and/or one, which standard beta-based models are unable to accommodate. Building on the flexible beta (FB) distribution, which extends the beta distribution by allowing greater flexibility in the shape of the density, this work proposes a zero- and/or one-augmented FB regression model. This model assigns positive probability mass to the boundaries of the support while preserving the parametric structure of the FB distribution. Parameter estimation is carried out through an expectation–maximization algorithm derived from a finite mixture representation of the model. The proposed approach is illustrated through an application to a real dataset in the context of video game engineering, and its predictive performance is assessed using standard accuracy measures.

Galbiati, A., Ascari, R. (2026). Zero- and/or One-Augmented Flexible Beta Regression with EM-Based Estimation. In F. Martella, S. Arima, M.F. Marino, C. Mollica (a cura di), Statistical Science: From Theory to Applied Research III SIS-FENStatS 2026, Short Papers, Contributed Sessions 2 (pp. 363-369). Springer [10.1007/978-3-032-30881-8_59].

Zero- and/or One-Augmented Flexible Beta Regression with EM-Based Estimation

Ascari, Roberto
2026

Abstract

Proportion data frequently arise in applied studies and are commonly modeled using beta regression when responses lie in the open unit interval (0, 1). However, real datasets often include observations equal to zero and/or one, which standard beta-based models are unable to accommodate. Building on the flexible beta (FB) distribution, which extends the beta distribution by allowing greater flexibility in the shape of the density, this work proposes a zero- and/or one-augmented FB regression model. This model assigns positive probability mass to the boundaries of the support while preserving the parametric structure of the FB distribution. Parameter estimation is carried out through an expectation–maximization algorithm derived from a finite mixture representation of the model. The proposed approach is illustrated through an application to a real dataset in the context of video game engineering, and its predictive performance is assessed using standard accuracy measures.
Capitolo o saggio
bootstrap; mixture; proportions; video game
English
Statistical Science: From Theory to Applied Research III SIS-FENStatS 2026, Short Papers, Contributed Sessions 2
Martella, F; Arima, S; Marino, MF; Mollica, C
17-lug-2026
2026
9783032308801
Springer
363
369
Galbiati, A., Ascari, R. (2026). Zero- and/or One-Augmented Flexible Beta Regression with EM-Based Estimation. In F. Martella, S. Arima, M.F. Marino, C. Mollica (a cura di), Statistical Science: From Theory to Applied Research III SIS-FENStatS 2026, Short Papers, Contributed Sessions 2 (pp. 363-369). Springer [10.1007/978-3-032-30881-8_59].
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10281/617029
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