The Pundit Paradox Exploring the Mismatch between Supply and Demand in Italian Political Talk Show Guests

Infotainment programs and political talk shows occupy a relevant portion of Italian television programming, playing a role in shaping and legitimizing political behaviors and social practices. This study evaluates whether the characteristics of pundits on Italian political talk shows align with public preferences, revealing systemic biases in societal representation. Analysis of guests from twelve talk shows aired between September 2023 and March 2024 displays a predominance of middle-aged male journalists and politicians, with notable underrepresentation of women, young people, and academic experts. Conversely, a conjoint survey experiment on a representative sample of Italians indicates a strong preference for younger and female pundits, especially those with economics or law backgrounds. Thus, the study underscores a substantial mismatch between the traits of pundits that audiences trust and those commonly featured on shows, indicating a significant gap in meeting viewer expectations in political discourse.