Probabilistic measures of edge criticality in graphs: a study in water distribution networks

The issue of vulnerability and robustness in networks have been addressed by several methods. The goal is to identify which are the critical components (i.e., nodes/edges) whose failure impairs the functioning of the network and how much this impacts the ensuing increase in vulnerability. In this paper we consider the drop in the network robustness as measured by the increase in vulnerability of the perturbed network and compare it with the original one. Traditional robustness metrics are based on centrality measures, the loss of efficiency and spectral analysis. The approach proposed in this paper sees the graph as a set of probability distributions and computes, specifically the probability distribution of its node to node distances and computes an index of vulnerability through the distance between the node-to-node distributions associated to original network and the one obtained by the removal of nodes and edges. Two such distances are proposed for this analysis: Jensen–Shannon and Wasserstein, based respectively on information theory and optimal transport theory, which are shown to offer a different characterization of vulnerability. Extensive computational results, including two real-world water distribution networks, are reported comparing the new approach to the traditional metrics. This modelling and algorithmic framework can also support the analysis of other networked infrastructures among which power grids, gas distribution and transit networks.