In this article, we present a novel methodology to assess predictive models for a binary target. In our opinion, the main weakness of the criteria proposed in the literature is not to take the financial costs of a wrong decision into account. The objective of this article is to derive the optimal cut-off in predictive classification models and to improve model assessment on the basis of a general class of loss functions. We describe how our proposal performs in a real application on credit scoring.

Figini, S., Uberti, P. (2010). Model assessment for predictive classification models. COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS. THEORY AND METHODS, 39(18), 3238-3244 [10.1080/03610920903243751].

Model assessment for predictive classification models

UBERTI, PIERPAOLO
2010

Abstract

In this article, we present a novel methodology to assess predictive models for a binary target. In our opinion, the main weakness of the criteria proposed in the literature is not to take the financial costs of a wrong decision into account. The objective of this article is to derive the optimal cut-off in predictive classification models and to improve model assessment on the basis of a general class of loss functions. We describe how our proposal performs in a real application on credit scoring.
Articolo in rivista - Articolo scientifico
Confusion matrix; Loss function; Model comparison; Threshold criteria;
English
2010
39
18
3238
3244
none
Figini, S., Uberti, P. (2010). Model assessment for predictive classification models. COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS. THEORY AND METHODS, 39(18), 3238-3244 [10.1080/03610920903243751].
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10281/394014
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