Temporal trends in survival and hospitalizations in outpatients with chronic systolic heart failure in 1995 and 1999

Background: Community and hospital studies have suggested that survival of patients with heart failure (HF) has increased; however, the causes of the improvement and the hospital readmission rates remain undetermined. Methods and Results: We compared survival and hospital admission rates in 2 cohorts enrolled in a national registry of outpatients with HF secondary to left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction referred to cardiology centers in 1995 (n = 712) and 1999 (n = 603). One year after enrollment, 163 of 1315 patients (12%) were dead. Survival rates were 85% in the 1995 versus 91% in the 1999 cohort. Older age, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class III-IV, anemia, hyponatremia, hypotension, and a lower LV ejection fraction (LVEF) were associated to an increased risk of all-cause mortality by multivariate analysis. Furthermore a significant independent cohort effect was observed: the adjusted risk of death was 1.30 (95% CI 1.16-1.45) for the 1995 versus 1999 cohort (survival difference adjusted P = .0067). The proportion of patients admitted to hospital declined significantly in 1999 versus 1995, for all causes (20% versus 27%, P = .006), for cardiac causes (16% versus 22%, P = .002), and for worsening congestive heart failure (8% versus 15%, P = .0005). Survival free from HF admission was 69% in 1995 versus 84% in 1999 (adjusted P = .0001); NYHA class III-IV, hypotension, diuretics and a lower LVEF were associated to an increased risk of this combined end point by multivariate analysis, as well as the enrollment year (relative risk 1.38, 95% CI 1.22-1.56, P = .0039). Conclusion: In a national cardiologic registry of outpatients with systolic HF, survival improved and hospital admissions decreased over a 4-year period. These results underscore the importance of networking and the careful implementation of practice guidelines to elevate standards of care.