We estimate a two-region model of the Euro area, with the purpose of identifying the shocks that caused the 2008–2009 recession and the subsequent 2010 sovereign bond crisis. One striking result is that both crises were demand-driven in the core Euro area countries, whereas region-specific permanent technology shocks explain most of the output growth slowdown in the peripheral countries. Adverse technology shocks became particularly important during the sovereign bond crisis. This is in line with cross-country evidence on the effects of sudden stops.

Albonico, A., Tirelli, P. (2020). Financial crises and sudden stops: Was the European monetary union crisis different?. ECONOMIC MODELLING, 93, 13-26 [10.1016/j.econmod.2020.06.021].

Financial crises and sudden stops: Was the European monetary union crisis different?

Albonico, Alice;
2020

Abstract

We estimate a two-region model of the Euro area, with the purpose of identifying the shocks that caused the 2008–2009 recession and the subsequent 2010 sovereign bond crisis. One striking result is that both crises were demand-driven in the core Euro area countries, whereas region-specific permanent technology shocks explain most of the output growth slowdown in the peripheral countries. Adverse technology shocks became particularly important during the sovereign bond crisis. This is in line with cross-country evidence on the effects of sudden stops.
Articolo in rivista - Articolo scientifico
Euro crisis; PIIGS; Sudden stops; Two-country DSGE;
English
3-ago-2020
2020
93
13
26
reserved
Albonico, A., Tirelli, P. (2020). Financial crises and sudden stops: Was the European monetary union crisis different?. ECONOMIC MODELLING, 93, 13-26 [10.1016/j.econmod.2020.06.021].
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10281/287327
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